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1.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38462398

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To validate the unsupervised cluster model (USCM) developed during the first pandemic wave in a cohort of critically ill patients from the second and third pandemic waves. DESIGN: Observational, retrospective, multicentre study. SETTING: Intensive Care Unit (ICU). PATIENTS: Adult patients admitted with COVID-19 and respiratory failure during the second and third pandemic waves. INTERVENTIONS: None. MAIN VARIABLES OF INTEREST: Collected data included demographic and clinical characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory tests and ICU outcomes. To validate our original USCM, we assigned a phenotype to each patient of the validation cohort. The performance of the classification was determined by Silhouette coefficient (SC) and general linear modelling. In a post-hoc analysis we developed and validated a USCM specific to the validation set. The model's performance was measured using accuracy test and area under curve (AUC) ROC. RESULTS: A total of 2330 patients (mean age 63 [53-82] years, 1643 (70.5%) male, median APACHE II score (12 [9-16]) and SOFA score (4 [3-6]) were included. The ICU mortality was 27.2%. The USCM classified patients into 3 clinical phenotypes: A (n = 1206 patients, 51.8%); B (n = 618 patients, 26.5%), and C (n = 506 patients, 21.7%). The characteristics of patients within each phenotype were significantly different from the original population. The SC was -0.007 and the inclusion of phenotype classification in a regression model did not improve the model performance (0.79 and 0.78 ROC for original and validation model). The post-hoc model performed better than the validation model (SC -0.08). CONCLUSION: Models developed using machine learning techniques during the first pandemic wave cannot be applied with adequate performance to patients admitted in subsequent waves without prior validation.

2.
Med. intensiva (Madr., Ed. impr.) ; 48(3): 142-154, Mar. 2024. tab, graf
Article in English | IBECS | ID: ibc-231020

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate the impact of obesity on ICU mortality. Design Observational, retrospective, multicentre study. Setting Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Patients Adults patients admitted with COVID-19 and respiratory failure. Interventions None. Primary variables of interest Collected data included demographic and clinical characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory tests and ICU outcomes. Body mass index (BMI) impact on ICU mortality was studied as (1) a continuous variable, (2) a categorical variable obesity/non-obesity, and (3) as categories defined a priori: underweight, normal, overweight, obesity and Class III obesity. The impact of obesity on mortality was assessed by multiple logistic regression and Smooth Restricted cubic (SRC) splines for Cox hazard regression. Results 5,206 patients were included, 20 patients (0.4%) as underweight, 887(17.0%) as normal, 2390(46%) as overweight, 1672(32.1) as obese and 237(4.5%) as class III obesity. The obesity group patients (n = 1909) were younger (61 vs. 65 years, p < 0.001) and with lower severity scores APACHE II (13 [9–17] vs. 13[10−17, p < 0.01) than non-obese. Overall ICU mortality was 28.5% and not different for obese (28.9%) or non-obese (28.3%, p = 0.65). Only Class III obesity (OR = 2.19, 95%CI 1.44–3.34) was associated with ICU mortality in the multivariate and SRC analysis. Conclusions COVID-19 patients with a BMI > 40 are at high risk of poor outcomes in the ICU. An effective vaccination schedule and prolonged social distancing should be recommended. (AU)


Objetivo Evaluar el impacto de la obesidad en la mortalidad de la UCI. Diseño Estudio observacional, retrospectivo y multicéntrico. Ámbito Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos (UCI). Pacientes Pacientes adultos con COVID-19 e insuficiencia respiratoria. Intervenciones Ninguna. Variables de interés principales Características demográficas y clínicas, comorbilidades, pruebas de laboratorio y evolución en la UCI. El impacto del índice de masa corporal (IMC) sobre la mortalidad se estudió como (1) una variable continua, (2) una variable categórica obesidad/no obesidad, y (3) como categorías definidas a priori: bajo peso, normal, sobrepeso, obesidad y obesidad clase III. El impacto de la obesidad se evaluó mediante regresión logística múltiple y splines cúbicos suaves restringidos (SRC) para la regresión de riesgos de Cox. Resultados Se incluyeron 5.206 pacientes, 20 (0,4%) con bajo peso, 887 (17,0%) con peso normal, 2.390 (46%) con sobrepeso, 1.672 (32,1%) con obesidad y 237 (4,5%) con obesidad clase III. Los pacientes obesos (n = 1909) eran más jóvenes (61 vs. 65 años, p < 0,001) y con un nivel más bajo de APACHE II (13 [9–17] frente a 13[10−17, p < 0,01) que los no obesos. La mortalidad global en la UCI fue del 28,5% y no fue diferente entre obesos (28,9%) y no obesos (28,3%,p = 0,65). Sólo la obesidad clase III (OR = 2,19; IC del 95%: 1,44−3,34) se asoció con la mortalidad en la UCI en el análisis multivariante y SRC. Conclusiones Los pacientes con COVID-19 con un IMC > 40 tienen un alto riesgo de mala evolución en la UCI. Debe recomendarse un calendario de vacunación eficaz y un distanciamiento social prolongado. (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , /epidemiology , /mortality , Obesity/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Intensive Care Units , Respiratory Insufficiency
3.
Med Intensiva (Engl Ed) ; 48(3): 142-154, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37923608

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of obesity on ICU mortality. DESIGN: Observational, retrospective, multicentre study. SETTING: Intensive Care Unit (ICU). PATIENTS: Adults patients admitted with COVID-19 and respiratory failure. INTERVENTIONS: None. PRIMARY VARIABLES OF INTEREST: Collected data included demographic and clinical characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory tests and ICU outcomes. Body mass index (BMI) impact on ICU mortality was studied as (1) a continuous variable, (2) a categorical variable obesity/non-obesity, and (3) as categories defined a priori: underweight, normal, overweight, obesity and Class III obesity. The impact of obesity on mortality was assessed by multiple logistic regression and Smooth Restricted cubic (SRC) splines for Cox hazard regression. RESULTS: 5,206 patients were included, 20 patients (0.4%) as underweight, 887(17.0%) as normal, 2390(46%) as overweight, 1672(32.1) as obese and 237(4.5%) as class III obesity. The obesity group patients (n = 1909) were younger (61 vs. 65 years, p < 0.001) and with lower severity scores APACHE II (13 [9-17] vs. 13[10-17, p < 0.01) than non-obese. Overall ICU mortality was 28.5% and not different for obese (28.9%) or non-obese (28.3%, p = 0.65). Only Class III obesity (OR = 2.19, 95%CI 1.44-3.34) was associated with ICU mortality in the multivariate and SRC analysis. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 patients with a BMI > 40 are at high risk of poor outcomes in the ICU. An effective vaccination schedule and prolonged social distancing should be recommended.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Overweight , Adult , Humans , Overweight/complications , Overweight/epidemiology , Critical Illness , Retrospective Studies , Thinness/complications , COVID-19/complications , Obesity/complications , Obesity/epidemiology
4.
Biomedicines ; 11(12)2023 Dec 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38137551

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Data on the benefits of rapid microbiological testing on antimicrobial consumption (AC) and antimicrobial resistance patterns (ARPs) are scarce. We evaluated the impact of a protocol based on rapid techniques on AC and ARP in intensive care (ICU) patients. METHODS: A retrospective pre- (2018) and post-intervention (2019-2021) study was conducted in ICU patients. A rapid diagnostic algorithm was applied starting in 2019 in patients with a lower respiratory tract infection. The incidence of nosocomial infections, ARPs, and AC as DDDs (defined daily doses) were monitored. RESULTS: A total of 3635 patients were included: 987 in the pre-intervention group and 2648 in the post-intervention group. The median age was 60 years, the sample was 64% male, and the average APACHE II and SOFA scores were 19 points and 3 points. The overall ICU mortality was 17.2% without any differences between the groups. An increase in the number of infections was observed in the post-intervention group (44.5% vs. 17.9%, p < 0.01), especially due to an increase in the incidence of ventilator-associated pneumonia (44.6% vs. 25%, p < 0.001). AC decreased from 128.7 DDD in 2018 to 66.0 DDD in 2021 (rate ratio = 0.51). An increase in Pseudomonas aeruginosa susceptibility of 23% for Piperacillin/tazobactam and 31% for Meropenem was observed. CONCLUSION: The implementation of an algorithm based on rapid microbiological diagnostic techniques allowed for a significant reduction in AC and ARPs without affecting the prognosis of critically ill patients.

5.
J Med Virol ; 95(8): e29010, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37537755

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study is to investigate the effectiveness of prolonged versus standard course oseltamivir treatment among critically ill patients with severe influenza. A retrospective study of a prospectively collected database including adults with influenza infection admitted to 184 intensive care units (ICUs) in Spain from 2009 to 2018. Prolonged oseltamivir was defined if patients received the treatment beyond 5 days, whereas the standard-course group received oseltamivir for 5 days. The primary outcome was all-cause ICU mortality. Propensity score matching (PSM) was constructed, and the outcome was investigated through Cox regression and RCSs. Two thousand three hundred and ninety-seven subjects were included, of whom 1943 (81.1%) received prolonged oseltamivir and 454 (18.9%) received standard treatment. An optimal full matching algorithm was performed by matching 2171 patients, 1750 treated in the prolonged oseltamivir group and 421 controls in the standard oseltamivir group. After PSM, 387 (22.1%) patients in the prolonged oseltamivir and 119 (28.3%) patients in the standard group died (p = 0.009). After adjusting confounding factors, prolonged oseltamivir significantly reduced ICU mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 0.53, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.40-0.69). Prolonged oseltamivir may have protective effects on survival at Day 10 compared with a standard treatment course. Sensitivity analysis confirmed these findings. Compared with standard treatment, prolonged oseltamivir was associated with reduced ICU mortality in critically ill patients with severe influenza. Clinicians should consider extending the oseltamivir treatment duration to 10 days, particularly in higher-risk groups of prolonged viral shedding. Further randomized controlled trials are warranted to confirm these findings.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Oseltamivir , Adult , Humans , Oseltamivir/therapeutic use , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Retrospective Studies , Critical Illness
6.
BMC Anesthesiol ; 23(1): 140, 2023 04 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37106321

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The optimal time to intubate patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia has not been adequately determined. While the use of non-invasive respiratory support before invasive mechanical ventilation might cause patient-self-induced lung injury and worsen the prognosis, non-invasive ventilation (NIV) is frequently used to avoid intubation of patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF). We hypothesized that delayed intubation is associated with a high risk of mortality in COVID-19 patients. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of prospectively collected data from adult patients with ARF due to COVID-19 admitted to 73 intensive care units (ICUs) between February 2020 and March 2021. Intubation was classified according to the timing of intubation. To assess the relationship between early versus late intubation and mortality, we excluded patients with ICU length of stay (LOS) < 7 days to avoid the immortal time bias and we did a propensity score and a cox regression analysis. RESULTS: We included 4,198 patients [median age, 63 (54‒71) years; 71% male; median SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) score, 4 (3‒7); median APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) score, 13 (10‒18)], and median PaO2/FiO2 (arterial oxygen pressure/ inspired oxygen fraction), 131 (100‒190)]; intubation was considered very early in 2024 (48%) patients, early in 928 (22%), and late in 441 (10%). ICU mortality was 30% and median ICU stay was 14 (7‒28) days. Mortality was higher in the "late group" than in the "early group" (37 vs. 32%, p < 0.05). The implementation of an early intubation approach was found to be an independent protective risk factor for mortality (HR 0.6; 95%CI 0.5‒0.7). CONCLUSIONS: Early intubation within the first 24 h of ICU admission in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia was found to be an independent protective risk factor of mortality. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered at Clinical-Trials.gov (NCT04948242) (01/07/2021).


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pneumonia , Respiratory Distress Syndrome , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , COVID-19/therapy , Critical Illness/therapy , Hospital Mortality , Intensive Care Units , Intubation, Intratracheal , Oxygen , Respiration, Artificial , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
7.
J Infect ; 85(4): 374-381, 2022 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35781017

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-Reactive Protein (CRP) are useful biomarkers to differentiate bacterial from viral or fungal infections, although the association between them and co-infection or mortality in COVID-19 remains unclear. METHODS: The study represents a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted for COVID-19 pneumonia to 84 ICUs from ten countries between (March 2020-January 2021). Primary outcome was to determine whether PCT or CRP at admission could predict community-acquired bacterial respiratory co-infection (BC) and its added clinical value by determining the best discriminating cut-off values. Secondary outcome was to investigate its association with mortality. To evaluate the main outcome, a binary logistic regression was performed. The area under the curve evaluated diagnostic performance for BC prediction. RESULTS: 4635 patients were included, 7.6% fulfilled BC diagnosis. PCT (0.25[IQR 0.1-0.7] versus 0.20[IQR 0.1-0.5]ng/mL, p<0.001) and CRP (14.8[IQR 8.2-23.8] versus 13.3 [7-21.7]mg/dL, p=0.01) were higher in BC group. Neither PCT nor CRP were independently associated with BC and both had a poor ability to predict BC (AUC for PCT 0.56, for CRP 0.54). Baseline values of PCT<0.3ng/mL, could be helpful to rule out BC (negative predictive value 91.1%) and PCT≥0.50ng/mL was associated with ICU mortality (OR 1.5,p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These biomarkers at ICU admission led to a poor ability to predict BC among patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Baseline values of PCT<0.3ng/mL may be useful to rule out BC, providing clinicians a valuable tool to guide antibiotic stewardship and allowing the unjustified overuse of antibiotics observed during the pandemic, additionally PCT≥0.50ng/mL might predict worsening outcomes.


Subject(s)
Bacterial Infections , COVID-19 , Coinfection , Procalcitonin , Respiratory Tract Infections , Bacterial Infections/diagnosis , Biomarkers , C-Reactive Protein/analysis , COVID-19/diagnosis , Coinfection/diagnosis , Humans , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Retrospective Studies
8.
Lancet Reg Health Eur ; 11: 100243, 2021 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34751263

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether the changes in critical care throughout the pandemic have improved the outcomes in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients admitted to the intensive care units (ICUs). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study in adults with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to 73 ICUs from Spain, Andorra and Ireland between February 2020 and March 2021. The first wave corresponded with the period from February 2020 to June 2020, whereas the second/third waves occurred from July 2020 to March 2021. The primary outcome was ICU mortality between study periods. Mortality predictors and differences in mortality between COVID-19 waves were identified using logistic regression. FINDINGS: As of March 2021, the participating ICUs had included 3795 COVID-19 pneumonia patients, 2479 (65·3%) and 1316 (34·7%) belonging to the first and second/third waves, respectively. Illness severity scores predicting mortality were lower in the second/third waves compared with the first wave according with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation system (median APACHE II score 12 [IQR 9-16] vs 14 [IQR 10-19]) and the organ failure assessment score (median SOFA 4 [3-6] vs 5 [3-7], p<0·001). The need of invasive mechanical ventilation was high (76·1%) during the whole study period. However, a significant increase in the use of high flow nasal cannula (48·7% vs 18·2%, p<0·001) was found in the second/third waves compared with the first surge. Significant changes on treatments prescribed were also observed, highlighting the remarkable increase on the use of corticosteroids to up to 95.9% in the second/third waves. A significant reduction on the use of tocilizumab was found during the study (first wave 28·9% vs second/third waves 6·2%, p<0·001), and a negligible administration of lopinavir/ritonavir, hydroxychloroquine, and interferon during the second/third waves compared with the first wave. Overall ICU mortality was 30·7% (n = 1166), without significant differences between study periods (first wave 31·7% vs second/third waves 28·8%, p = 0·06). No significant differences were found in ICU mortality between waves according to age subsets except for the subgroup of 61-75 years of age, in whom a reduced unadjusted ICU mortality was observed in the second/third waves (first 38·7% vs second/third 34·0%, p = 0·048). Non-survivors were older, with higher severity of the disease, had more comorbidities, and developed more complications. After adjusting for confounding factors through a multivariable analysis, no significant association was found between the COVID-19 waves and mortality (OR 0·81, 95% CI 0·64-1·03; p = 0·09). Ventilator-associated pneumonia rate increased significantly during the second/third waves and it was independently associated with ICU mortality (OR 1·48, 95% CI 1·19-1·85, p<0·001). Nevertheless, a significant reduction both in the ICU and hospital length of stay in survivors was observed during the second/third waves. INTERPRETATION: Despite substantial changes on supportive care and management, we did not find significant improvement on case-fatality rates among critical COVID-19 pneumonia patients. FUNDING: Ricardo Barri Casanovas Foundation (RBCF2020) and SEMICYUC.

9.
Ann Intensive Care ; 11(1): 159, 2021 Nov 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34825976

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Some unanswered questions persist regarding the effectiveness of corticosteroids for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. We aimed to assess the clinical effect of corticosteroids on intensive care unit (ICU) mortality among mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of prospectively collected data conducted in 70 ICUs (68 Spanish, one Andorran, one Irish), including mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS patients admitted between February 6 and September 20, 2020. Individuals who received corticosteroids for refractory shock were excluded. Patients exposed to corticosteroids at admission were matched with patients without corticosteroids through propensity score matching. Primary outcome was all-cause ICU mortality. Secondary outcomes were to compare in-hospital mortality, ventilator-free days at 28 days, respiratory superinfection and length of stay between patients with corticosteroids and those without corticosteroids. We performed survival analysis accounting for competing risks and subgroup sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: We included 1835 mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS, of whom 1117 (60.9%) received corticosteroids. After propensity score matching, ICU mortality did not differ between patients treated with corticosteroids and untreated patients (33.8% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.28). In survival analysis, corticosteroid treatment at ICU admission was associated with short-term survival benefit (HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.39-0.72), although beyond the 17th day of admission, this effect switched and there was an increased ICU mortality (long-term HR 1.68; 95% CI 1.16-2.45). The sensitivity analysis reinforced the results. Subgroups of age < 60 years, severe ARDS and corticosteroids plus tocilizumab could have greatest benefit from corticosteroids as short-term decreased ICU mortality without long-term negative effects were observed. Larger length of stay was observed with corticosteroids among non-survivors both in the ICU and in hospital. There were no significant differences for the remaining secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that corticosteroid treatment for mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS had a biphasic time-dependent effect on ICU mortality. Specific subgroups showed clear effect on improving survival with corticosteroid use. Therefore, further research is required to identify treatment-responsive subgroups among the mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS patients.

10.
Antibiotics (Basel) ; 10(4)2021 Mar 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33810263

ABSTRACT

Background: Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-Reactive protein (CRP) are well-established sepsis biomarkers. The association of baseline PCT levels and mortality in pneumonia remains unclear, and we still do not know whether biomarkers levels could be related to the causative microorganism (GPC, GNB). The objective of this study is to address these issues. Methods: a retrospective observational cohort study was conducted in 184 Spanish ICUs (2009-2018). Results: 1608 patients with severe influenza pneumonia with PCT and CRP available levels on admission were included, 1186 with primary viral pneumonia (PVP) and 422 with bacterial Co-infection (BC). Those with BC presented higher PCT levels (4.25 [0.6-19.5] versus 0.6 [0.2-2.3]ng/mL) and CRP (36.7 [20.23-118] versus 28.05 [13.3-109]mg/dL) as compared to PVP (p < 0.001). Deceased patients had higher PCT (ng/mL) when compared with survivors, in PVP (0.82 [0.3-2.8]) versus 0.53 [0.19-2.1], p = 0.001) and BC (6.9 [0.93-28.5] versus 3.8 [0.5-17.37], p = 0.039). However, no significant association with mortality was observed in the multivariate analysis. The PCT levels (ng/mL) were significantly higher in polymicrobial infection (8.4) and GPC (6.9) when compared with GNB (1.2) and Aspergillus (1.7). The AUC-ROC of PCT for GPC was 0.67 and 0.32 for GNB. The AUROC of CRP was 0.56 for GPC and 0.39 for GNB. Conclusions: a single PCT/CRP value at ICU admission was not associated with mortality in severe influenza pneumonia. None of the biomarkers have enough discriminatory power to be used for predicting the causative microorganism of the co-infection.

11.
ERJ Open Res ; 7(1)2021 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33718494

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The relationship between early oseltamivir treatment (within 48 h of symptom onset) and mortality in patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) with severe influenza is disputed. This study aimed to investigate the association between early oseltamivir treatment and ICU mortality in critically ill patients with influenza pneumonia. METHODS: This was an observational study of patients with influenza pneumonia admitted to 184 ICUs in Spain during 2009-2018. The primary outcome was to evaluate the association between early oseltamivir treatment and ICU mortality compared with later treatment. Secondary outcomes were to compare the duration of mechanical ventilation and ICU length of stay between the early and later oseltamivir treatment groups. To reduce biases related to observational studies, propensity score matching and a competing risk analysis were performed. RESULTS: During the study period, 2124 patients met the inclusion criteria. All patients had influenza pneumonia and received oseltamivir before ICU admission. Of these, 529 (24.9%) received early oseltamivir treatment. In the multivariate analysis, early treatment was associated with reduced ICU mortality (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.51-0.95). After propensity score matching, early oseltamivir treatment was associated with improved survival rates in the Cox regression (hazard ratio 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.99) and competing risk (subdistribution hazard ratio 0.67, 95% CI 0.53-0.85) analyses. The ICU length of stay and duration of mechanical ventilation were shorter in patients receiving early treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Early oseltamivir treatment is associated with improved survival rates in critically ill patients with influenza pneumonia, and may decrease ICU length of stay and mechanical ventilation duration.

12.
Crit Care ; 25(1): 63, 2021 02 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33588914

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The identification of factors associated with Intensive Care Unit (ICU) mortality and derived clinical phenotypes in COVID-19 patients could help for a more tailored approach to clinical decision-making that improves prognostic outcomes. METHODS: Prospective, multicenter, observational study of critically ill patients with confirmed COVID-19 disease and acute respiratory failure admitted from 63 ICUs in Spain. The objective was to utilize an unsupervised clustering analysis to derive clinical COVID-19 phenotypes and to analyze patient's factors associated with mortality risk. Patient features including demographics and clinical data at ICU admission were analyzed. Generalized linear models were used to determine ICU morality risk factors. The prognostic models were validated and their performance was measured using accuracy test, sensitivity, specificity and ROC curves. RESULTS: The database included a total of 2022 patients (mean age 64 [IQR 5-71] years, 1423 (70.4%) male, median APACHE II score (13 [IQR 10-17]) and SOFA score (5 [IQR 3-7]) points. The ICU mortality rate was 32.6%. Of the 3 derived phenotypes, the A (mild) phenotype (537; 26.7%) included older age (< 65 years), fewer abnormal laboratory values and less development of complications, B (moderate) phenotype (623, 30.8%) had similar characteristics of A phenotype but were more likely to present shock. The C (severe) phenotype was the most common (857; 42.5%) and was characterized by the interplay of older age (> 65 years), high severity of illness and a higher likelihood of development shock. Crude ICU mortality was 20.3%, 25% and 45.4% for A, B and C phenotype respectively. The ICU mortality risk factors and model performance differed between whole population and phenotype classifications. CONCLUSION: The presented machine learning model identified three clinical phenotypes that significantly correlated with host-response patterns and ICU mortality. Different risk factors across the whole population and clinical phenotypes were observed which may limit the application of a "one-size-fits-all" model in practice.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/therapy , Aged , Cluster Analysis , Critical Illness , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Phenotype , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Spain/epidemiology
14.
Intensive Care Med ; 44(9): 1470-1482, 2018 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30074052

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To determine clinical predictors associated with corticosteroid administration and its association with ICU mortality in critically ill patients with severe influenza pneumonia. METHODS: Secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study of critically ill patients with confirmed influenza pneumonia admitted to 148 ICUs in Spain between June 2009 and April 2014. Patients who received corticosteroid treatment for causes other than viral pneumonia (e.g., refractory septic shock and asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD] exacerbation) were excluded. Patients with corticosteroid therapy were compared with those without corticosteroid therapy. We use a propensity score (PS) matching analysis to reduce confounding factors. The primary outcome was ICU mortality. Cox proportional hazards and competing risks analysis was performed to assess the impact of corticosteroids on ICU mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1846 patients with primary influenza pneumonia were enrolled. Corticosteroids were administered in 604 (32.7%) patients, with methylprednisolone the most frequently used corticosteroid (578/604 [95.7%]). The median daily dose was equivalent to 80 mg of methylprednisolone (IQR 60-120) for a median duration of 7 days (IQR 5-10). Asthma, COPD, hematological disease, and the need for mechanical ventilation were independently associated with corticosteroid use. Crude ICU mortality was higher in patients who received corticosteroids (27.5%) than in patients who did not receive corticosteroids (18.8%, p < 0.001). After PS matching, corticosteroid use was associated with ICU mortality in the Cox (HR = 1.32 [95% CI 1.08-1.60], p < 0.006) and competing risks analysis (SHR = 1.37 [95% CI 1.12-1.68], p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Administration of corticosteroids in patients with severe influenza pneumonia is associated with increased ICU mortality, and these agents should not be used as co-adjuvant therapy.


Subject(s)
Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use , Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Pneumonia, Viral/drug therapy , APACHE , Adult , Critical Care/methods , Critical Illness , Female , Humans , Influenza, Human/complications , Influenza, Human/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , Pneumonia, Viral/complications , Pneumonia, Viral/mortality , Propensity Score , Prospective Studies , Spain/epidemiology , Survival Analysis , Treatment Outcome
15.
Inorg Chem ; 56(22): 13748-13758, 2017 Nov 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29087184

ABSTRACT

Two polytopic aza-scorpiand-like ligands, 6-[7-(diaminoethyl)-3,7-diazaheptyl]-3,6,9-triaza-1-(2,6-pyridina)cyclodecaphane (L1) and 6-[6'-[3,6,9-triaza-1-(2,6-pyridina)cyclodecaphan-6-yl]-3-azahexyl]-3,6,9-triaza-1-(2,6-pyridina)cyclodecaphane (L2), have been synthesized. The acid-base behavior and Cu2+, Zn2+, and Cu2+/Zn2+ mixed coordination have been analyzed by potentiometry, cyclic voltammetry, and UV-vis spectroscopy. The resolution of the crystal structures of [Cu2L2Cl2](ClO4)2·1.67H2O (1), [Cu2HL2Br2](ClO4)3·1.5H2O (2), and [CuZnL2Cl2](ClO4)2·1.64H2O (3) shows, in agreement with the solution data, the formation of homobinuclear Cu2+/Cu2+ and heterobinuclear Cu2+/Zn2+ complexes. The metal ions are coordinated within the two macrocyclic cavities of the ligand with the involvement of a secondary amino group of the bridge in the case of 1 and 3. Energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy confirms the 1:1 Cu2+/Zn2+ stoichiometry of 3. The superoxide dismutase (SOD) activities of the Cu2+/Cu2+ and Cu2+/Zn2+ complexes of L1 and L2 have been evaluated using nitro blue tetrazolium assays at pH 7.4. The IC50 and kcat values obtained for the [Cu2L1]4+ complex rank among the best values reported in the literature for Cu-SOD mimics. Interestingly, the binuclear Cu2+ complexes of L1 and L2 have low toxicity in cultures of mammalian cell lines and show significant antioxidant activity in a copper-dependent SOD (SOD1)-defective yeast model. The results are rationalized by taking into account the binding modes of the Cu2+ ions in the different complexes.


Subject(s)
Biomimetic Materials/chemistry , Coordination Complexes/chemistry , Copper/chemistry , Superoxide Dismutase/chemistry , Zinc/chemistry , Animals , Antioxidants/chemical synthesis , Antioxidants/chemistry , Antioxidants/pharmacology , Biomimetic Materials/chemical synthesis , Biomimetic Materials/pharmacology , Cell Line, Tumor , Chlorocebus aethiops , Coordination Complexes/chemical synthesis , Coordination Complexes/pharmacology , Humans , Ligands , Molecular Structure , Oxidation-Reduction , Saccharomyces cerevisiae/drug effects , Saccharomyces cerevisiae/enzymology , Saccharomyces cerevisiae/growth & development , Superoxide Dismutase/genetics , Vero Cells
16.
Expert Opin Drug Deliv ; 14(12): 1447-1453, 2017 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29041861

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The delivery profile of Aztreonam lysine (AZLI) during mechanical ventilation (MV) is unknown. We evaluated the amount of AZLI drug delivered using an in vitro model of adult MV. METHODS: An adult lung model designed to mimic current clinical practice was used. Both nebulizers were placed before a Y-piece and 4 settings were tested: A) Aeroneb solo® [AS] with a t-piece; B) AS with the spacer; C) M-Neb® [MN] with a t-piece and D) MN with the spacer. Performance was evaluated in terms of: 1) Mass median aerodynamic diameter (MMAD); 2) Geometric standard deviation (GSD), 3) Fine particle dose (FPD), 4) Fine particle fraction (FPF), 5) Inhalable mass (IM), and 6) Recovery rate (RR). RESULTS: Both devices showed an adequate delivery of AZLI during MV, with MMAD between 2.4-2.5 µm and 87% of FPF. The FPD (38.8 and 31.7), IM (44.8 and 36.1) and RR (30 and 24) were similar for AS and MN respectively. Nebulizer aerosol delivery increased (50 and 70% respectively) for both nebulizers when using the spacer. CONCLUSION: Both AS and MN showed a good aerosol delivery profile for AZLI during in vitro mechanical ventilation. Better aerosol delivery performance was obtained using the spacer.


Subject(s)
Aztreonam/administration & dosage , Respiration, Artificial , Administration, Inhalation , Aerosols , Equipment Design , Humans , Models, Anatomic , Particle Size
17.
Respir Care ; 62(10): 1307-1315, 2017 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28698265

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite wide use of noninvasive ventilation (NIV) in several clinical settings, the beneficial effects of NIV in patients with hypoxemic acute respiratory failure (ARF) due to influenza infection remain controversial. The aim of this study was to identify the profile of patients with risk factors for NIV failure using chi-square automatic interaction detection (CHAID) analysis and to determine whether NIV failure is associated with ICU mortality. METHODS: This work was a secondary analysis from prospective and observational multi-center analysis in critically ill subjects admitted to the ICU with ARF due to influenza infection requiring mechanical ventilation. Three groups of subjects were compared: (1) subjects who received NIV immediately after ICU admission for ARF and then failed (NIV failure group); (2) subjects who received NIV immediately after ICU admission for ARF and then succeeded (NIV success group); and (3) subjects who received invasive mechanical ventilation immediately after ICU admission for ARF (invasive mechanical ventilation group). Profiles of subjects with risk factors for NIV failure were obtained using CHAID analysis. RESULTS: Of 1,898 subjects, 806 underwent NIV, and 56.8% of them failed. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, infiltrates in chest radiograph, and ICU mortality (38.4% vs 6.3%) were higher (P < .001) in the NIV failure than in the NIV success group. SOFA score was the variable most associated with NIV failure, and 2 cutoffs were determined. Subjects with SOFA ≥ 5 had a higher risk of NIV failure (odds ratio = 3.3, 95% CI 2.4-4.5). ICU mortality was higher in subjects with NIV failure (38.4%) compared with invasive mechanical ventilation subjects (31.3%, P = .018), and NIV failure was associated with increased ICU mortality (odds ratio = 11.4, 95% CI 6.5-20.1). CONCLUSIONS: An automatic and non-subjective algorithm based on CHAID decision-tree analysis can help to define the profile of patients with different risks of NIV failure, which might be a promising tool to assist in clinical decision making to avoid the possible complications associated with NIV failure.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human/complications , Noninvasive Ventilation/mortality , Respiratory Insufficiency/therapy , APACHE , Adult , Aged , Chi-Square Distribution , Critical Illness/mortality , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Influenza, Human/mortality , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Noninvasive Ventilation/methods , Organ Dysfunction Scores , Prospective Studies , Respiration, Artificial/methods , Respiration, Artificial/mortality , Respiratory Insufficiency/mortality , Respiratory Insufficiency/virology , Risk Factors , Treatment Failure
18.
J Inorg Biochem ; 163: 230-239, 2016 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27133803

ABSTRACT

The Mn2+ coordination chemistry of double scorpiand ligands in which two polyazacyclophane macrocycles have been connected by pyridine, phenanthroline and bipyridine spacers has been studied by potentiometry, paramagnetic NMR and electrochemistry. All ligands show high stability with Mn2+ and the complexes were formed in a wide pH range. DFT calculations support the structures and coordination geometries derived from the study. A remarkable antioxidant activity was evidenced for these systems by the McCord-Fridovich assay and in Escherichiacoli sodAsodB deficient bacterial cells. The three systems were tested as anti-inflammatory drugs in human macrophages measuring the accumulation of cytokines upon lipopolysaccharide (LPS) pro-inflammatory effect. All complexes showed anti-inflammatory effect, being [Mn2L1]4+ the most efficient one.


Subject(s)
Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal , Antioxidants , Bacterial Proteins/metabolism , Coordination Complexes , Escherichia coli/enzymology , Macrophages/metabolism , Manganese , Oxidative Stress/drug effects , Superoxide Dismutase/metabolism , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/chemical synthesis , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/chemistry , Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/pharmacology , Antioxidants/chemical synthesis , Antioxidants/chemistry , Antioxidants/pharmacology , Cell Line, Tumor , Coordination Complexes/chemical synthesis , Coordination Complexes/chemistry , Coordination Complexes/pharmacology , Humans , Manganese/chemistry , Manganese/pharmacology
19.
J Intensive Care ; 4: 7, 2016.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26788325

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) mortality exceeds 20 % in critical care patients despite appropriate antibiotic therapy. Regional tissue oxygen saturation index (rSO2) measured with near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) might facilitate early detection for patients at risk of serious complications. Our objectives were to determine the relationship between early determination of rSO2 and mortality and to compare discrimination power for mortality of rSO2 and other resuscitation variables in critically ill CAP patients. METHODS: This is a prospective observational study. Patients with CAP were enrolled within 6 h to intensive care admission. Demographics and clinical variables were recorded. rSO2 was determined using NIRS in brachioradialis muscle. All variables were determined at baseline and 24 h after admission. RESULTS: Forty patients were enrolled. Fourteen patients (35 %) had a baseline rSO2 < 60 % and 7 of them died (50 %). Only 1 of 26 (3.8 %) patients with rSO2 ≥ 60 % died (p = 0.007). The area under ROC curve (AUROC) showed consistent mortality discrimination at baseline (0.84, p = 0.03) and at 24 h (0.86, p = 0.006) for rSO2 values. Cox regression analysis showed that "low" rSO2 at ICU admission (hazard ratio (HR) = 8.99; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.05-76.8; p = 0.045) and "low" rSO2 at 24 h (HR = 13.18; 95 % CI 1.52-113.6; p = 0.019) were variables independently associated with mortality. In contrast, other variables such as Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score (HR = 1.09; 95 % CI 0.99-1.19; p = 0.052) were not associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that forearm skeletal muscle rSO2 differs in patients with severe CAP according to outcome and might be an early prognosis tool.

20.
J Infect ; 72(2): 143-51, 2016 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26702737

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To define which variables upon ICU admission could be related to the presence of coinfection using CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) analysis. METHODS: A secondary analysis from a prospective, multicentre, observational study (2009-2014) in ICU patients with confirmed A(H1N1)pdm09 infection. We assessed the potential of biomarkers and clinical variables upon admission to the ICU for coinfection diagnosis using CHAID analysis. Performance of cut-off points obtained was determined on the basis of the binominal distributions of the true (+) and true (-) results. RESULTS: Of the 972 patients included, 196 (20.3%) had coinfection. Procalcitonin (PCT; ng/mL 2.4 vs. 0.5, p < 0.001), but not C-reactive protein (CRP; mg/dL 25 vs. 38.5; p = 0.62) was higher in patients with coinfection. In CHAID analyses, PCT was the most important variable for coinfection. PCT <0.29 ng/mL showed high sensitivity (Se = 88.2%), low Sp (33.2%) and high negative predictive value (NPV = 91.9%). The absence of shock improved classification capacity. Thus, for PCT <0.29 ng/mL, the Se was 84%, the Sp 43% and an NPV of 94% with a post-test probability of coinfection of only 6%. CONCLUSION: PCT has a high negative predictive value (94%) and lower PCT levels seems to be a good tool for excluding coinfection, particularly for patients without shock.


Subject(s)
Bacterial Infections/diagnosis , Bacterial Infections/pathology , Calcitonin/blood , Coinfection/diagnosis , Coinfection/pathology , Influenza, Human/complications , Influenza, Human/pathology , Protein Precursors/blood , Adult , Biomarkers/blood , Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide , Decision Trees , Female , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity
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